XRP Price Analysis: Breakdown Below $1.23 - What's Next for Ripple? (2026)

The XRP price has taken a sharp turn, slipping below $1.23 after a brief breakout attempt. This sudden shift has left traders with a lot to ponder, as it seems to contradict the recent positive sentiment surrounding the asset. Personally, I find this development particularly intriguing, as it raises questions about the market's current dynamics and the factors driving price movements. What makes this situation even more fascinating is the contrast between the recent inflows into XRP ETF products and the current price action. While the market has been absorbing supply from the recent selloff, the sudden drop below $1.23 suggests that there might be more to the story. One thing that immediately stands out is the role of South Korea's Upbit exchange in XRP activity. The dominance of wallet-flow from Upbit has climbed from 13% to 31% in the week through June 14, indicating a significant concentration of activity in a single exchange. This raises a deeper question: How does the concentration of activity in a single exchange impact the overall price dynamics of XRP? In my opinion, this concentration of activity could be a double-edged sword. On one hand, it suggests that the market is still finding its footing after the recent selloff. On the other hand, it could also indicate a lack of broader market support, which could lead to further price volatility. Another detail that I find especially interesting is the technical analysis of the price action. The loss of the $1.22-$1.23 area, which traders had been watching after XRP's rally above $1.20 earlier in the week, suggests that sellers remain in control. This reinforces the lower-high structure that has emerged since XRP was rejected near $1.25, indicating a potential deeper retracement toward $1.15. If you take a step back and think about it, this could be a significant development for the broader recovery of XRP. A move below $1.20 would not only raise the risk of a deeper retracement but also challenge the market's ability to sustain the recent positive sentiment. What this really suggests is that the market is still in a state of flux, with a lot of uncertainty surrounding the direction of prices. Looking ahead, traders will be closely watching the key support and resistance levels, including $1.20, $1.223, and $1.25. A move back above $1.25 would suggest that the selloff was profit-taking rather than the start of a larger reversal, while a move below $1.20 would raise the risk of a deeper retracement. In conclusion, the recent drop below $1.23 has left traders with a lot to ponder. While the market has been absorbing supply from the recent selloff, the sudden shift suggests that there might be more to the story. Personally, I think that the concentration of activity in a single exchange and the technical analysis of the price action suggest that the market is still in a state of flux, with a lot of uncertainty surrounding the direction of prices. A move below $1.20 would challenge the market's ability to sustain the recent positive sentiment, while a move back above $1.25 would suggest that the selloff was profit-taking rather than the start of a larger reversal.

XRP Price Analysis: Breakdown Below $1.23 - What's Next for Ripple? (2026)
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